ALBANY — Seriously man?
New York City’s lame duck Mayor, Bill de Blasio, isn’t a serious enough candidate to land a spot on the Marist Institute for Public Opinion’s shortlist comparing the likely success of Democratic hopefuls in a 2022 gubernatorial primary — a list including even disgraced, ex-Gov. Andrew Cuomo — Marist’s head pollster told The Post.
Although de Blasio has played coy when pressed repeatedly by reporters about a run for governor, saying he’s talked to “a number of people” about his desire to “continue in public service” and keep “serving in one way or another,” those future musings are little more than a pipe dream, the pollster said, excluding him from being named in a matchup poll between Gov. Kathy Hochul, Attorney General Letitia James, left-wing NYC Public Advocate Jumaane Williams and Cuomo in the ranking released earlier this week.
“We wanted Hochul, Cuomo and Tish James — but De Blasio is sort of around the fringes,” Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Poll, explained to The Post.
“Usually we put people in when they are more committed to it. If de Blasio gets serious or there’s more speculation we will [add him] next time for sure,” he said.
Hochul is the only politician who has officially declared her candidacy ahead of the June 2022 Democratic primary — but the other potential challengers have far more legitimacy to their prospective campaigns than de Blasio, Miringoff said.
The poll found Hochul led the field in a three-way match up between James at 44 to 28 percent, with Williams grabbing just 13 percent.
She remained the frontrunner when compared in a four-way race including Cuomo, narrowing the gap between James at 36 to 24 percent, Cuomo capturing 19 percent and Williams just 9 percent. Another 13 and 12 percent, respectfully, were undecided.
“With Tish James, there is much more speculation that she will run. She is a person who has a support base and who would be measurable for governor,” Miringoff noted.
“We were really measuring Cuomo, Hochul and the two others who are further down the announcement path than de Blasio.”
James has openly been telling potential supporters to “stay tuned” on whether or not she makes a run and her allies reportedly have been quietly calling in effort to gauge support.
Williams also opened his own gubernatorial exploratory committee and has been traveling across the state raising his profile.
Meanwhile, Cuomo — who resigned in disgrace following the release of James’ bombshell sexual harassment report concluding he sexually harassed 11 women and fostered a toxic work environment — has $18 million in his war chest and has recently been sending out ominous messages from his campaign email, and his personal lawyer Rita Glavin has frequently James and her analysis’s credibility as she mulls her future candidacy.
Miringoff said he added Cuomo to the poll after he sent out a “dear supporters” email last week where he warned the state is in a “dangerous moment,” explaining it signified the ex-pol’s budding interest.
The pollster said regardless, if de Blasio were to pursue higher office, historically, the odds aren’t in his favor.
“Primaires are downstate and you have to deal with the suburbs and upstate in the general [election.] He’s not as well known outside the city and that can work to his advantage, or his disadvantage, because obviously in the city, people have already cast their lot for or against him — elsewhere it’s more of an introduction.”
“In modern political times, no one has been promoted from Gracie Mansion to Albany or to Washington so, it’s not a path that’s well worn. He knows this too,” he said, recalling the failed gubernatorial bid of former Mayor Ed Koch in 1982 and Rudy Guiliani’s 2008 presidential bid — and even de Blasio’s own “sputtered” presidential campaign.
De Blasio failed to gain more than 1 percent in national polls during his failed 2020 presidential bid — but drew the ire of his constituents when he was frequently absent from mayoral duties. For example he was campaigning in Waterloo, Iowa during a Big Apple blackout in July 2019.
He also attracted fewer than half the 130,000 donors required to advance in the primary debates.
A 2019 Siena College Research Institute poll found Hizzoner had lower favorability ratings from New Yorkers than President Donald Trump — 25 percent compared to 32 percent
“If we did a comprehensive group at some point we should put him in,” Miringoff generously added, “it is early. We like when people have thrown their hats in.”
“My alma mater always has a deep perception of political realities, if he wants to run I wish him luck. I think things like his most recent effort to get rid of the gifted and talented program would be a problem for a candidate who is running outside the city. He has to really consider the race beyond the Democratic primary,” said Republican State Island City Councilman Joe Borelli, a Marist grad.
Representatives for de Blasio did not respond to requests for comment from The Post.
-Additional reporting by Julia Marsh